7.2 Probability of the Combination of Two Events


7.2 Probability of the Combination of Two Events
1. For two events, A and B, in a sample space S, the events AB (A and B) and A υ B (A or B) are known as combined events.

2.
The probability of the union of sets A and B is given by:

P ( A B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B ) P ( A B )

3.
The probability of the union of sets A and B can also be calculated using an alternative method, i.e.

P ( A B ) = n ( A B ) n ( S )

4.
The probability of event A and event B occurring, P(AB) can be determined by the following formula.

P ( A B ) = n ( A B ) n ( S )



Example:
Given a universal set ξ = {2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15}. A number is chosen at random from the set ξ . Find the probability that
(a) an even number is chosen.
(b) an odd number or a prime number is chosen.

Solution:
The sample space, S = ξ
n(S) = 14

(a)
Let A = Event of an even number is chosen
A = {2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14}
(A) = 7
P ( A ) = n ( A ) n ( S ) = 7 14 = 1 2

(b)
Let,
B = Event of an odd number is chosen
C = Event of a prime number is chosen
B = {3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15} and (B) = 7
C = {2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13} and (C) = 6

The event when an odd number or a prime number is chosen is B 
υ C.
(B υ C) = (B) + (C) – (B C) 
B C = {3, 5, 7, 11, 13}, ( C) = 5

P ( B C ) = P ( B ) + P ( C ) P ( B C ) = n ( B ) n ( S ) + n ( C ) n ( S ) n ( B C ) n ( S ) = 7 14 + 6 14 5 14 = 8 14 = 4 7 The probability of choosing an odd number or a prime number = 4 7 .

Short Questions (Question 1 to 3)


Question 1:
The probability of student P being chosen as a school prefect is 3 4  while the probability of student Q being chosen is 5 6 .
Find the probability that
(a) both of the students are chosen as the school prefect,
(b) only one student is chosen as a school prefect.

Solution:
(a)
Probability (both of the students are chosen as the school prefect ) = 3 4 × 5 6 = 5 8

(b)
Probability (only one student is chosen as a school prefect ) = ( 3 4 × 1 6 ) + ( 1 4 × 5 6 ) = 3 24 + 5 24 = 1 3



Question 2:
A bag contains x pink cards and 6 green cards. Two cards are drawn at random from the bag, one after the other, without replacement. Find the value of x if the probability of obtaining two green cards is .

Solution:
Total cards in the bag = x + 6
P(obtaining 2 green cards) =
6 x + 6 × 5 x + 5 = 1 3 30 ( x + 6 ) ( x + 5 ) = 1 3
(x + 6) (x + 5) = 90
x2 + 11x + 30 = 90
x2 + 11x – 60 = 0
(x – 4) (x + 15) = 0
x = 4   or   x = –15 (not accepted)



Question 3:
A sample space of an experiment is given by S = {1, 2, 3, … , 21}. Events Q and R are defined as follows:
Q : {3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21}
R : {1, 3, 5, 15, 21}

Find
(a) P(Q)
(b) P(Q and R)

Solution:
(a)

n( S )=21,n( Q )=7 P( Q )= 7 21 = 1 3

(b)
QR={ 3,15,21 }, then n( QR )=3 P( Q and R )=P( QR )    = n( QR ) n( S )   = 3 21   = 1 7

Long Questions (Question 2 & 3)


Question 2:
A bag contains 4 red cards, 6 blue cards and 5 green cards. A card is drawn at random and its colour is recorded and then it is returned to the bag before the second card is drawn at random. Find the probability that
(a) all the three cards are blue,
(b) there are two blue cards followed by one red card,
(c) the sequence of the cards drawn is red, green and blue,
(d) all the three cards have the same colour.

Solution:
Let R = red card, B = blue card, G = green card

(a)
Probability (all the three cards are blue ) = 6 15 × 6 15 × 6 15 = 8 125

(b)
Probability (two blue cards followed by one red card ) = 6 15 × 6 15 × 4 15 = 16 375

(c)
Probability (the sequence of the cards drawn is red, green and blue ) = 4 15 × 6 15 × 5 15 = 8 225

(d)
Probability (all the three cards have the same colour ) = P ( R R R ) + P ( B B B ) + P ( G G G ) = ( 4 15 ) 3 + ( 6 15 ) 3 + ( 5 15 ) 3 = 64 3375 + 216 3375 + 125 3375 = 3 25



Question 3:
A bag contains 4 blue beads, 3 red beads and 7 green beads. Two beads are drawn at random from the bag, one after the other without replacement. Find the probability that
(a) both the beads are of the same colour,
(b) both the beads are of different colours. 

Solution:




(a)
Probability (both the beads are of the same colour) =P( blue, blue )+P( red, red )+P( green, green ) =( 4 14 × 3 13 )+( 3 14 × 2 13 )+( 7 14 × 6 13 ) = 6 91 + 3 91 + 3 13 = 30 91

(b)
Probability (both the beads are of different colour ) = 1 P ( both the beads are of the same colour ) = 1 30 91 From part (a) = 61 91

6.1 Permutation Part 1


(A) rs Multiplication Principle/ Rule

1. If an operation can be carried out in r ways and another operation can be carried out in s ways, then the number of ways to carry out both the operations consecutively is r × s, i.e. rs.

2. The rs multiplication principle can be expanded to three or more operations. If the numbers of ways for the occurrence of events A, B and C are r, s and p respectively, the number of ways for the occurrence of all the three events consecutively is r × s × p, i.e. rsp.

Example 1:
There are 3 different roads to travel from town P to town Q and 4 different roads to travel from town Q to town R. Calculate the number of ways a person can travel from town P to town R via town Q.

Solution:
3 × 4 = 12


(B) Permutations


Example 2:
Calculate each of the following.
(a) 7!
(b) 4!6!
(c) 0!5!
( d ) 7 ! 5 ! ( e ) 8 ! 4 ! ( f ) n ! ( n 2 ) ! ( g ) n ! 0 ! ( n 1 ) ! ( h ) 3 ! ( n + 1 ) ! 2 ! n !

Solution:
(a) 7! = 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 5040
(b) 4!6! = (4 × 3 × 2 × 1)( 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1) = 17280
(c) 0!5! = (1)( 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1) = 120

(d) 7 ! 5 ! = 7 × 6 × 5 ! 5 ! = 7 × 6 = 42 (e) 8 ! 4 ! = 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 ! 4 ! = 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 = 1680 (f) n ! ( n 2 ) ! = n ( n 1 ) ( n 2 ) ( n 2 ) = n ( n 1 ) (g) n ! 0 ! ( n 1 ) ! = n ( n 1 ) ( 1 ) ( n 1 ) = n (h) 3 ! ( n + 1 ) ! 2 ! n ! = 3 × 2 ! ( n + 1 ) ( n ) ( n 1 ) 2 ! n ( n 1 ) = 3 ( n + 1 )

Calculator Computation: 



Short Question 1 – 3



Question 1
:
A group of 4 men and 3 ladies are to be seated in a row for a photographing session. If the men and ladies want to be seated alternately (man-lady-man-lady...), calculate the number of different arrangements.

Solution:
The arrangements of 4 men and 3 ladies to be seated alternately are as follow:

M    L    M        M    L    M

The number of ways to arrange the seat for 4 men = 4!

The number of ways to arrange the seat for 3 ladies = 3!

Total number of different arrangements for men and ladies = 4! × 3! = 144



Question 2:
Ahmad has 6 durians, 5 watermelons and 2 papayas. If he wants to arrange these fruits in a row and the fruits of the same kind have to be grouped together, calculate the number of different arrangements. The sizes of the fruits are different.

Solution:
The number of ways to arrange 3 groups of fruits that are same kind = 3!

DDDDDD      WWWWW      PP  

The number of ways to arrange 6 durians = 6!
The number of ways to arrange 5 watermelons = 5!
The number of ways to arrange 2 papayas = 2!

Therefore, the number of ways to arrange the fruits with same kind of fruits was grouped together
= 3! × 6! × 5! × 2!
= 1036800



Question 3:
Calculate the number of arrangements, without repetitions, of the letters from the word `SOMETHING' with the condition that they must begin with a vowel.

Solution:
Arrangement of letters begin with vowel  O, M and I =   3 P 1 Arrangement for the rest of the letters 7! Number of arrangements  3 P 1 ×7! =15120

6.3 Combinations


6.3 Combinations
(1) The number of combinations of r objects chosen from n different objects is given by :
n C r = n ! r ! ( n r ) !
(2) A combination of r objects chosen from n different objects is a selection of a set of r objects chosen from n objects. The order of the objects in the chosen set is not taken into consideration.
N o t e : ( i ) n C 0 = 1 ( i i ) n C n = 1 ( i i i ) n C r = n C n r

Example 1:
Calculate the value of  7 C 2 7 C 2 = 7! ( 72 )! ×2! = 7! 5! ×2! = 7 ×6 ×5! 5! ×2! = 7×6 2×1 =21


Calculator Computation: 





Example 2:

There are 6 marbles, each with different colour, which are to be divided equally between 2 children. Find the number of different ways the division of the marbles can be done.
 
Solution:
Number of ways giving 3 marbles to the first child =  6 C 3
 
Number of ways giving the remaining 3 marbles =  3 C 3
 
So, the number of different ways the division of the marbles
  = 6 C 3 × 3 C 3 = 20 × 1 = 20

6.1 Permutations Part 2


(C) Permutation of n Different Objects, Taken r at a Time

1. The number of permutations of n different objects, taken r at a time is given by:

 
2.  A permutation of n different objects, taken r at a time, is an arrangement of a set of r objects chosen from n objects. The order of the objects in the chosen set is taken into consideration.
 
3. The number of permutations of n different objects, taken all at a time, is:




Example 1:
Evaluate each of the following.
(a) 5 P 2 (b) 7 P 3 (c) 9 P 4

Solution:
(a) 5 P 2 = 5 ! ( 5 2 ) ! = 5 ! 3 ! = 5 × 4 × 3 ! 3 ! = 5 × 4 = 20 (b) 7 P 3 = 7 ! ( 7 3 ) ! = 7 ! 4 ! = 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 ! 4 ! = 7 × 6 × 5 = 210 (c) 9 P 4 = 9 ! ( 9 4 ) ! = 9 ! 5 ! = 9 × 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 ! 5 ! = 9 × 8 × 7 × 6 = 3024

Calculator Computation: 




Short Question 5 – 8


Question 4:
A committee that consists of 6 members is to be selected from 5 teachers and 4 students. Find the number of different committees that can be formed if
(a) there is no restriction,
(b) the number of teachers must exceed the number of students.

Solution:

(a)
Total number of committees = 5 + 4 = 9
6 members to be selected from 9 committees with no restriction
= 9 C 6 = 84

(b)
If the number of teachers must exceed the number of students, the combination = 4 teachers 2 students + 5 teachers 1 student = 5 C 4 × 4 C 2 + 5 C 5 × 4 C 1 = 30 + 4 = 34


Question 5:
A school prefect committee that consists of 6 persons is to be chosen from 6 Malays, 5 Chinese and 4 Indians. Calculate the number of different committees that can be formed if the number of Malays, Chinese and Indians must be equal.

Solution:
Number of different committees that can be formed for 2 Malays, 2 Chinese and 2 Indians
= 6 C 2 × 5 C 2 × 4 C 2 = 900


Question 6:
There are 10 different flavour candies in a plastic bag.
Find
(a) the number of ways 3 candies can be chosen from the plastic bag.
(b) the number of ways at least 8 candies can be chosen from the plastic bag.

Solution:

(a)
Number of ways choosing 3 candies out of 10 candies
= 10 C 3 = 120

(b)
Number of ways choosing 8 candies =   = 10 C 8
Number of ways choosing 9 candies = 10 C 9
Number of ways choosing 10 candies = 10 C 10

Hence, number of ways of choosing at least 8 candies
= 10 C 8 + 10 C 9 + 10 C 10 = 56


Short Question 1 – 3


Question 1:
Solve the equation 3 cos 2A = 8 sin A – 5 for 0°  A ≤ 360°.

Solution:

3 cos 2A = 8 sin A – 5
3(1–2 sin2 A) = 8 sin A – 5
3 – 6 sin2 A = 8 sin A – 5
6 sin2 A + 8 sin A – 8 = 0
3 sin2 A + 4 sin A – 4 = 0
(3 sin A – 2)(sin A + 2) = 0  ←( Factorise the equation )
3 sin A – 2 = 0
sinA= 2 3 ( sin A is positive in the 1st and 2nd quadrants. )
A = 41°49’, 138°11’
Or
sin A + 2 = 0
sin A = –2 (no solution)

Hence A = 41°49’, 138°11’.



Question 2:
Solve the equation 2 cos 2x – cos x – 1 = 0 for 0°  x ≤ 360°.

Solution:

2 cos 2x – cos x – 1 = 0
2 (2 cos2 x – 1) – cos x – 1 = 0
4 cos2 x– 2 – cos x – 1 = 0
4 cos2 x– cos x – 3 = 0
(4 cos x + 3)(cos x – 1) = 0
cos x =  3 4
basic angle = 41°24’
x = 138°36’, 221°24’
or
cos x = 1,
x = 0°, 360°

Hence x = 0°, 138°36’, 221°24’, 360°



Question 3:
Solve the equation 6 sec² x – 13 tan x = 0, 0°   x  360°.

Solution:
6 sec² x – 13 tan = 0
6 (1 + tan²x) – 13 tan x = 0
6 tan²x – 13 tan x + 6 = 0
(3 tan x – 2)(2 tan x – 3) = 0
tan x = 2/3   or   tan x = 3/2

tan x = 2/3
Basic angle = 33.69°
x = 33.69°, 180° + 33.69°
x = 33.69°, 213.69° 
Or
tan x = 3/2
Basic angle = 56.31°
x = 56.31°, 180° + 56.31°
x = 56.31°, 236.31°

Hence x = 33.69°, 56.31°, 213.69°, 236.31°. 


Short Question 7 & 8


Question 7:
It is given that   sin A = 5 13 and cos B = 4 5 , where A is an obtuse angle and B is an acute angle.
Find
(a) tan A
(b) sin (A + B)
(c) cos (A B
 
Solution:
(a)
tan A = 5 12


(b)
sin ( A + B ) = sin A cos B + cos A sin B sin ( A + B ) = ( 5 13 ) ( 4 5 ) + ( 12 13 ) ( 3 5 ) cos A = 12 13 sin B = 3 5 sin ( A + B ) = 4 13 36 65 sin ( A + B ) = 16 65


(c)
cos ( A B ) = cos A cos B + sin A sin B cos ( A B ) = ( 12 13 ) ( 4 5 ) + ( 5 13 ) ( 3 5 ) cos ( A B ) = 33 65



Question 8:
If sin A = p, and 90° < A < 180°, express in terms of p
(a) tan A
(b) cos A
(c) sin 2A

Solution:
Using Pythagoras Theorem, Adjacent side = 1 2 p 2 = 1 p 2


(a)

tan A = p 1 p 2 tan is negative at second quadrant


(b)
cos A = 1 p 2 cos is negative at second quadrant


(c)
sin A = 2 sin A cos A sin A = 2 ( p ) ( 1 p 2 ) sin A = 2 p 1 p 2